Some "interesting"
greyhound
racing systems.
These greyhound
racing systems are presented for your entertainment only and in no way
infer financial advice.
GREYHOUND
RACING SYSTEM #1
A
good friend of ours swears by this greyhound racing system. We have not
had the time to give it our usual thorough testing and so pass it on to
you with the proviso that we can make no claims about its effectiveness.
To be fair though, we have sat with him many times in a "local"
after sunset (having a cooling refresher) he does seem to back an inordinate
number of winners!
So for what it's worth,
here's "Uncle" Doug's greyhound racing system.
Object: To identify
greyhounds that appear to be improving over the space of their last three
starts
Rule 1: Look ONLY
at each greyhounds last three starts. If every dog in the race has not
had three starts, SKIP the race.
Rule 2:
Allocate points for this greyhound racing system on the following basis:
For a last start win - 18 points
For a second last start win - 12 points
For a third last start win - 6 points
For a last start 2nd - 12 points
For a second last start 2nd - 8 points
For a third last start 2nd - 4 points
For a last start 3rd - 6 points
For a second last start 3rd - 4 points
For a third last start 3rd - 2 points
For any other placing other than 1, 2 or
3 - NIL
Rule 3:
Total all points for this greyhound racing system
Staking:
If it is possible to back the top 2 point scorers to make a good profit,
do so, (either dutch method or target).
This greyhound racing system will take you
just a matter of minutes to work out all selections at the start of a
programme and should provide good value dogs.
Good luck - and Doug, it's all on you old
pal!!!!
Addendum: One of our website users is having
a good deal of success to this plan with a couple of rule modifications.
Amended rules:
a) If top point scoring dog is scratched,
forget the race
b) Do not use this greyhound racing system
at Sandown or The Meadows
GREYHOUND RACING
SYSTEM #2
This greyhound racing system came
from an old magazine article.
Rule 1: Eliminate any dog that was not a
winner at its last start
Rule 2: Eliminate any of these winners that
have not started in the last 20 days
Rule 3: Eliminate any remaining contenders
that have not won at least two races at today's track
Rule 4: If more than one contender remains,
back the dog with the MOST wins at the track
Rule 5: If a tie skip the race - there'll
always be another one to punt on!
GREYHOUND
RACING SYSTEM #3
1) Eliminate any dog
that did not run 2nd, 3rd or 4th at its last start
2) Eliminate any dog
that did not finish within 4.5 lengths of the winner at its last start
3) Eliminate any dog
that is not drawn closer to Box 1 than it's last start
4) Eliminate any dog
priced at LESS than $5.50 with 5 minutes to go in the betting
GREYHOUND
RACING SYSTEM #4
There are three ratings
sub platforms in this greyhound racing system: box draw, last two
starts, market guide
Rate them as follows:-
Box draw:
1 and 2 = 4 points
3 and 8 = 3 points
4 and 7 = 2 points
5 and 6 = 1 point
Last 2 Starts:
11 or 21 or 12 = 3 points
31 or 13 or 22 = 2 points
41 or 32 or 23 or 14 = 1 point
With 5 minutes to go in the betting:
1st or 2nd favourite (or equal) = 4 points
3rd or 4th favourite (or equal) = 3 points
5th or 6th favourite (or equal) = 2 points
7th or 8th favourite (or equal) = 1 point
Total points for each dog.
Top rated dogs paying better than $3.50
can apparently be backed (especially each way) with confidence, as
can dogs that have better than a three point lead of the 2nd top rated
dog, according to those that use this simple yet interesting greyhound
racing system.
As with all gambling
plans, you TRAVEL AT YOUR OWN RISK.
Try this greyhound racing system
out on paper for a month or so before you commit any hard to find
$$$$ to it - good luck!!!
GREYHOUND
RACING SYSTEM #5 - THE INFALLIBLE DOG RACING SYSTEM - SOME CALLED IT THE
ULTIMATE GREYHOUND RACING SYSTEM
Some years ago there was
a greyhound racing system floated around that was infallible, couldn't
lose, It was the ultimate scheme. It still floats around today under various
guises and flogged off under different names. In fairness, it does work
- THE SYSTEM THAT IS. In practise it doesn't work because of the number
of variables, particularly with regard to the size and operation of Australia's
chronic three tote system with inordinately small pools.
The idea behind this greyhound
racing system is sound and this is how it supposedly works. There are
only a maximum of 8 boxes in each greyhound race and usually a minimum
of ten races on each greyhound racing card. Therefore it follows that
one box MUST win at least two races on each card. Simple, no? Well, yes
but no. The idea was that you didn't bet in race 1 and merely observed
which box won the race. You backed this in race 2. If this didn't win,
you backed the winning boxes in races 1 and 2 in race three. If none of
these won, you backed the winning boxes in races 1, 2 and 3 in race 4
and so on until you cracked that elusive winner and stopped with your
set profit for the day / night.
The trick of course is carrying
forward the amounts lost betting on unsuccessful races to the next race
- not an insurmountable problem with the software programmes around today
but a real problem trying to estimate the prices that will pay after the
tote is closed off. The really big problem is that if a lot of people
started doing this and the run of outs was even moderately long, the weight
of money on the next race would distort the eventual small pool tote payouts.
Well, thinking about it, the dividend distortion may or may not be the
case - but I can't be bothered wasting valuable time mentally arguing
that one!
About five years ago, apparently,
a chap using the nom de plume of "Duritz" summed up the infallible
greyhound racing systemmarvellously well on some forum. His post has been
sent to me for comment. Unfortunately they didn't tell me which forum
it came from but it is well written:
"Eventually,
you're going to get to the situation where the 8th race is required to
get the collect. IE, eventually you're going to have to back every dog
in the field. So, the system by the oracles at (magazine) says, back every
dog in the field for profit.
Genius! Why hadn't I
thought of that! In fact, if it's that easy, why aren't we all backing
every dog in the field for profit in every race!!!
Because there's a little
thing called percentages, which ensures you can't. In short, eventually
you're going to get to a situation where it is impossible to back every
dog in the race for profit, which will of course mean that it is therefore
impossible to recoup the losses from the previous seven races on the card.
Then, what you are, is a little word that rhymes with "trucked".
And you're right regally "trucked".
Say you're trying to
win a measly $20 on the night. Say that's your goal. First race, you watch
it go by, #1 dog wins. So, second race, you back #1 dog, price $3.50.
To win your $20 you therefore have $8 on him.
He gets beat by #2. So,
next race, you back #1 and #2, to profit $20 PLUS the $8 you lost on the
first. #1 is showing $2.50 and #2 is showing $6. Without going into the
maths as to why, you have $26 on #1 and $11 on #2. Total outlay $37.
Dammit. They ran second
and third, to #3. OK, so your now down $46. You need to collect that,
plus win your $20, so your target on the next is now $66, and you're backing
numbers 1,2 and 3.
OK, so, odds are (Oh
yeah and this is dogs remember, you don't know what odds they'll be until
after the race, often by many points but we'll forget that and assume
you know their final price several minutes before the jump, so odds are
#1 $4.00, #2 $12, #3 $8. Thank God some roughies, we could have been in
trouble.
Anyway, with those odds
you need to outlay $56 on the race - $30 on #1, $10 on #2 and $15 on #3.
Whichever of those three dogs wins, you'll collect $122, for a profit
of $66 on the race, minus the $46 you've lost in two races so far, for
a profit of $20.
Unfortunately, #4 gets
up (it was the fave, after all you were on outsiders mainly). So, next
race you're chasing $102 of losses so far, and of course your $20 profit
(don't forget that, it's the reason we're here at Dapto after all), making
a total of $122 profit required, and you have to get that by backing dog
numbers 1,2,3 and 4.
OK, so, after returning
from our time machine with Marty McFly we're able to know the final prices
in advance for the upcoming 5th race, and they are as follows:
#1 - $2.30
$2 - $6.00
#3 - $10.00
#4 - $5.00
Bit of percentage in
those four. Numbers 5,6,7 are all outsiders, and #8 is in the market.
So, anyway, we crunch
the numbers happily enough, because with those four dogs running for us,
one of them will surely win and we'll walk away with $20 profit.
So, in order to get it,
this is how much we must have on each:
#1 - $538
#2 - $206
#3 - $124
#4 - $248
for a
total outlay of $1,116 on the race. Should any of those four dogs win,
you'll collect a healthy $1238, for a profit on the race of $122, which
will cover your $102 losses so far and your required $20 profit on the
night. When one of them gets up, you can use $5 of the $20 to buy yourself
a large shot of whiskey.
So, after
#3 takes #2 out at the first bend, and #4 misses the kick, it's a race
in two between #1 and #5... and unfortunately #5 wins by a short half
can of Pal.
Hmmm.
Bit of a loss there.
Never
mind though, we've got the system behind us and the infallibility of the
brains at (magazine) backing us every step of the way. They've researched
this method. It's sound. If it weren't, they wouldn't dare publish it
in such a reputable magazine.
So, our
confidence renewed and the DeLorian time machine on idle, we return with
the final prices once more for the next race, the sixth. We sit down next
to Ma and Pa Kettle in the grandstand, who tell us that they like the
#6 dog, because it has "Bale" at the end of its name. We roll
our eyes, how can they be so naive?
So, we
now need to make $1238 on this upcoming race in order to make a profit
of $20 on the night. With that, here are the prices:
#1 - $4.00
#2 - $9.00
#3 - $26.00
#4 - $6.00
#5 - $5.00
OK, so with those odds,
here's what me must have on each dog in order to make our $1238 on the
race, so we can walk away with $20 profit:
#1 - $1324
#2 - $588
#3 - $204
#4 - $883
#5 - $1059
for a
total outlay of $4058. So, you borrow $4000 of Ma and Pa Kettle's retirement
fund and punt up, knowing with surety that you're about to win your $20
for the night.
Unfortunately,
Ma and Pa Kettle were right. #6 did win. Now, we have $5296 profit we
need to make on the next race in order to get our $20. Our nerves are
a bit frayed. We owe Ma and Pa Kettle $4000 and we don't know how we'll
pay. $4000 is 200 winning nights at $20 each. That's more than half the
year, every night, of winning nights, and we haven't even lasted the first
yet.
Fortunately,
the barman "shouts" us a large shot of whiskey. It was needed.
So, tentatively
we step into/out of the DeLorian again with final tote prices for a race
that hasn't yet run, the next, and calculate what we need to outlay, given
that we're backing dogs 1-6.
Here's
the totes in full:
1 - $4.5
2 - $8
3 - $11
4 - $27
5 - $19
6 - $10
7 - $20
8 - $2.0
OK, so, backing dogs
1-6, here's what we have on them:
1 - $3162
2 - $1779
3 - $1294
4 - $527
5 - $749
6 - $1423
for a
total outlay on the race of $8,933. That's OK though, because as soon
as one of the 6 out of 8 dogs that you've backed wins the race, you'll
collect back $14,229, be able to repay Ma and Pa Kettle their $4,000,
and you will walk out of here a cool $20 richer. Let the good times roll.
OK, so
you mortgage your kneecaps and firstborn son to Louie the local Mafia
rep to borrow $9,000 and you head to Mavis at the tote window (who by
now is regarding you with pity), and you outlay nearly $9,000 on the 7th
race at Dapto dogs, spread over 6 dogs.
You realise,
as they load the dogs into the boxes and you take your seat in the stands,
that one of them really needs to win. If it doesn't, not only are you
down $14,209 on the evening, your kneecaps are in jeopardy, your firstborn
is in danger and Ma and Pa Kettle are polishing up their best whoopin
boots.
So, as
the dogs jump, you're confident again. You are certain that $20 is about
to come your way. Rounding the first bend, as the favourite, #8, surges
to the front, your smile falters only slightly. It WILL work, you tell
yourself. Down the back, as the commentator alerts us to the fact that
it's a new track record first split, you nervously glance over your shoulder
at Louie the Mafia Rep, who is cracking his knuckles. Rounding the HOME
bend, as #8 surges clear by 20 lengths, you vomit on Ma and Pa Kettle
in front of you. Mentally, $100 jumps onto the bill for their dry cleaning.
When
the next race rolls around, you don't bother starting up the DeLorian
to get the totes. You know that you can't win. You have to back dog numbers
1,2,3,4,5,6 and 8. And, looking at the early totes, #7 is a 50/1 outsider.
So, whilst you will certainly get the winner, it is mathematically impossible
to back all those seven dogs and make a profit.
Forlornly,
you try to sell the DeLorian, but no-one's buying. No-one wants a car
that was driven by a loser."
Whoever "Duritz" is, he has his
head screwed on right!
GREYHOUND RACING
SYSTEM #6 A
system that didn't work
(Or how we lost $400 in the blink
of an eye)
We thought we'd publish
this greyhound racing system to share with you and graphically demonstrate
that we can all fall in to the same traps - if only we try hard enough!
This greyhound racing
system was going to be called "Ruffies" - because it would
have been the only system the greyhounds could have asked for themselves.
(A joke Joyce) We liked that name. We didn't go much on the outcome.
We thought our rules
were "different" but reasonably well thought out on a lot
of levels. This was to be the daddy of all greyhound place betting
systems. Here were the very simple and straight forward rules.
Rule 1: The only dogs
that were to be considered were those that started at more than $10.00
at their last start and either won or finished less than 6 lengths
from the winner
Rule 2: No emergencies
considered
Rule 3: If more than
one contender, the widest drawn dog is the selection
Well, like all "great"
systems it started like the proverbial train - our first day of operation
and investing our hard earned was January 25, 2007 through our Victorian
TAB account as we were comfortable to concentrate on Victorian greyhound
meetings because of the excellent free internet form guides that are
available.
What a day to start -
on the first day winners at $9.30, $20.40, $19.00, $42.30 and $20.40.
Good Lord almighty, it's Christmas!!! And remember, we were only looking
for placed dogs - not winning dogs. We had discovered the golden stairway
to heaven with this greyhound racing system. Hmmmmm. We were only
looking to make a modest 5 units at a time on our bank so this had
to be the best ever system for place betting on the dogs.
Everything progressed
well for the next 209 bets until the middle of February 2007 and then
------- well, you check it out on the workout sheets and then cry
for us too. (!!!!!)
The full workout sheet of this greyhound
racing system can be viewed by clicking here
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